Exercise 3: Why a Target-Date Fund's Glide Path Changes Allocation Automatically — Possible Solution ==================================================================== This chapter's own real material on time horizon explains directly why a fixed, unchanging allocation would eventually become the wrong one for any investor approaching a specific real target date - and the glide path exists specifically to correct for that. WHY A FIXED ALLOCATION STOPS BEING APPROPRIATE OVER TIME This chapter establishes that an investor's own appropriate allocation depends heavily on time horizon - specifically, how much real time remains to recover from a potential downturn like Chapter 8's own real, 15-year dot-com bubble recovery. A young investor decades from their own target date has substantial real capacity to hold a stock- heavy allocation, since there's genuinely enough time to recover from even a severe, prolonged downturn. As that same investor's own target date draws nearer, however, that real capacity shrinks - a severe downturn hitting close to the target date would leave far less time to recover before the money is actually needed. WHY A GLIDE PATH IS THE DIRECT SOLUTION TO THIS PROBLEM A fixed allocation set once, at the start, would genuinely fail to account for this shrinking time horizon - it would still be exposing the investor to the same real level of stock-market risk close to their target date as it did decades earlier, precisely when their own real capacity to absorb a downturn has fallen. The glide path solves this directly by shifting the fund's own allocation gradually over time: emphasizing return-seeking assets like equities when the target date is genuinely far off and time-horizon-driven risk capacity is high, then gradually shifting toward capital-preservation assets like bonds as the target date approaches and that same risk capacity naturally declines. WHY THIS CONNECTS DIRECTLY TO THIS CHAPTER'S OWN MATERIAL This is precisely the same real logic this chapter already applied to the "100 minus age" heuristic and to comparing investors of different ages earlier in the chapter - appropriate allocation shifts as time horizon shrinks. A target-date fund simply automates that same real adjustment continuously over time, rather than requiring the investor to manually reassess and rebalance their own allocation as their own time horizon changes. ANSWER: A target-date fund's glide path shifts allocation automatically because an investor's own appropriate risk capacity is directly tied to time horizon, per this chapter's own material - a fixed allocation set once wouldn't account for the fact that risk capacity naturally shrinks as a target date approaches, since there's progressively less real time left to recover from a severe downturn like the chapter's own 15-year dot-com bubble recovery example. The glide path solves this by emphasizing equities while the target date is distant and risk capacity is high, then gradually shifting toward bonds as the date nears and that same capacity declines - automating the exact same time-horizon- driven adjustment this chapter's own "100 minus age" heuristic and age-comparison material already describe. WHY THIS WORKS AS AN ANSWER ------------------------------ This connects the glide path's own mechanism directly back to the chapter's real material on time horizon and risk capacity, explaining why a fixed allocation would genuinely become inappropriate over time rather than simply describing what the glide path does.