Exercise 2: What Rebalancing a Drifted 82/18 Portfolio Actually Involves — Possible Solution ==================================================================== The portfolio's original real target was 70% stocks / 30% bonds. After several strong years for stocks, it has genuinely drifted to 82% stocks / 18% bonds - stocks now make up 12 percentage points more of the portfolio than originally intended, and bonds make up 12 percentage points less. WHAT REBALANCING WOULD INVOLVE DOING Per this chapter's own real definition, rebalancing means selling a portion of whatever has grown to be overweight and buying more of whatever has become underweight, restoring the original target mix. Applied to this specific portfolio, that means selling enough of the now-overweight stock holdings, and using the proceeds to buy enough additional bonds, to bring the allocation back from 82/18 to the original real target of 70/30. WHY LEAVING IT AS 82/18 IS A REAL, MEANINGFUL DEPARTURE FROM THE PLAN This isn't a trivial or cosmetic difference. A 12-percentage-point shift toward stocks represents a real, substantially higher-risk portfolio than the investor originally chose - stocks carry higher real volatility than bonds, per this course's own earlier material, so an 82% stock allocation would react far more severely to a downturn like Chapter 8's own dot-com bubble example than the original 70% allocation would have. The investor's own original decision reflected their genuine risk tolerance and risk capacity at that time; simply letting the allocation drift means the portfolio no longer actually reflects that original, deliberate decision, even though no one consciously chose to take on more risk. WHY THIS CAN HAPPEN WITHOUT ANY DELIBERATE CHOICE This chapter's own material explains precisely why this drift occurs even with no active decision involved: different asset classes grow at different real rates, and stocks outperforming bonds over "several strong years" is exactly the kind of uneven growth that mechanically shifts a portfolio's own proportions over time, entirely independent of the investor's own intentions. WHY THIS MATTERS Recognizing the 82/18 split as a genuine departure from the plan, rather than simply "the portfolio doing well," is what makes clear why rebalancing - even though it involves the counterintuitive step of selling some of the better-performing asset - is a real, deliberate maintenance action rather than an unnecessary interference with success. ANSWER: Rebalancing this portfolio would involve selling enough of the now-overweight stock holdings and buying enough additional bonds to bring the allocation back from its drifted 82% stocks / 18% bonds to the original real target of 70% stocks / 30% bonds. Leaving it as is would be a real, meaningful departure from the original plan because the extra 12 percentage points in stocks represents a substantially higher-risk portfolio than the investor deliberately chose, exposing them to more real volatility than their own original decision reflected - a shift that happened purely through uneven asset growth, not any conscious choice to take on more risk. WHY THIS WORKS AS AN ANSWER ------------------------------ This correctly describes the specific mechanical action rebalancing requires (sell overweight, buy underweight, restore the target), and explains why the drifted allocation represents a genuine, meaningful increase in risk rather than a neutral or positive outcome simply because stocks performed well.